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Federal Reserve Likely To Support Stock Market | Alfonso Peccatiello

Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) http://vaneck.com/HODLFG. VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Prospectus: https://vaneck.com/us/hodlprospectus. __ Follow Alf on Twitter   / macroalf   Follow VanEck on Twitter   / vaneck_us   Follow Jack Farley on Twitter   / jackfarley96   Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter   / forwardguidance   Follow Blockworks on Twitter   / blockworks_   __ Timestamps: 00:00 Introduction 00:24 Debt Service Ratio In U.S. Means Higher Interest Rates Haven't Caused Interest Expense To Skyrocket 02:37 The "Higher Interest Rates Are Stimulative" Argument Has Gone War Too Far 06:45 Outside Of The U.S., Higher Interest Rates Already HAVE Had A Big Effect 08:46 Private Debt, Not Public Debt, Is The Cause Of Most Modern Financial Crises 11:23 Eurozone Countries Can't Print Their Own Currency The Way A Monetary Sovereign Can 14:04 Is Government Deficit The Surplus Of The Private Sector? 21:43 VanEck ad 22:50 Making Money And Being Right Are Often Different Things 25:13 Is Private Sector Investment "Crowded Out" By Government Borrowing? 26:51 The Four Factors That Impact Interest Rate Sensitivity Of An Economy 29:53 U.S. Recession Risk Is Underpriced By Interest Rate Futures Market 32:28 If Nominal GDP Comes In Below Consensus, Stocks Could Rally (Rather Than Sell-off) 37:16 Macro Carry Strategies 42:52 The Case For A Bull Steepener (Short-Term Yields Fall More Than Long-Term Yields) 44:45 Weighing Probabilities Of Soft Landing vs. Recession vs. No Landing __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.