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When This Trade War Will End: Market Signals to Watch - James Check

James Check joins TFTC to discuss how markets will signal when the US-China trade war is ending. The conversation explores Trump's tariffs causing bond market volatility, overleveraged hedge funds unwinding basis trades, and whether the Fed will intervene. Check analyzes Bitcoin's key support levels around $75K and $65K while comparing performance across asset classes. The hosts examine potential scenarios for economic resolution, including which player will "blink first" in this global game of economic chicken, and why sound money assets like Bitcoin and gold may outperform during extended market uncertainty. James on Twitter: https://x.com/_Checkmatey_ Checkonchain: https://charts.checkonchain.com/ Newsletter: https://newsletter.checkonchain.com/ Shoutout to our sponsors: Fold https://foldapp.com/marty Bitkey https://bit.ly/TFTCBitkey20 Unchained https://unchained.com/tftc/ Zaprite https://zaprite.com/tftc Salt of the Earth https://drinksote.com/tftc 0:00 - Intro 0:34 - Tariff bomb 6:30 - Recession incoming 9:28 - Fold & Bitkey 11:10 - Yen/dollar devaluation game of chicken 15:35 - Gold and Bitcoin’s price floor 25:04 - Unchained Event 25:29 - Bull case is more likely 34:18 - Thesis meeting reality 43:53 - Bitcoinization of finance 47:01 - Bessent reset 54:29 - Closing monologue Join the TFTC Movement: Main YT Channel    / tftc21   Clips YT Channel    / @btcbrief   Website https://tftc.io/ Twitter   / tftc21   Instagram   / tftc.io   Nostr https://primal.net/tftc Follow Marty Bent: Twitter   / martybent   Nostr https://primal.net/martybent Newsletter https://tftc.io/martys-bent/ Podcast https://www.tftc.io/tag/podcasts/