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The 2024 Economic Outlook

Silicon Valley bank imploded. Taylor Swift started her Eras tour. We entered the debt ceiling debate yet again. OpenAI blah blah. Labor market housing market stock market crypto again somehow inflation federal reserve sentiment gas prices fear. This year has been tiring for many people, for a lot of reasons Good things: We managed to skirt a recession (again!) and get inflation down (somehow!) and maintain a relatively strong labor market (excellent!), and still grow the economy. There were historic labor movements, like the UAW strike, that allowed employees to demand more from their employers . So many economists were wrong. Everyone thought that we would be in a recession this year. In 2022, Bloomberg had this post stating that there would be a Forecast for US Recession Within Year Hits 100% in Blow to Biden and that sentiment carried into 2023. Wrong! 85% of economists thought that we would be in a recession by end of 2023. Big wrong! And we weren’t! Everyone learned a lot of valuable lessons on how the economy works in the post-pandemic world. As Adam Ozimek writes in The Simple Mistake That Almost Triggered a Recession why they were wrong, with ‘their pessimistic views about the labor market’ being a main issue. We learned that we don’t have to destroy the economy in order to save it. Full article: https://kyla.substack.com/p/2024-outl... 0:00 Intro 03:31 Vibes 05:17 Federal Reserve 08:47 Fiscal Policy 11:45 The Ladder 14:57 Labor Market 18:20 Stock Market 20:20 Housing Market 23:30 Inflation 27:09 In General 36:05 Predictions All materials in these videos are used for educational purposes and fall within the guidelines of fair use. No copyright infringement intended. If you are or represent the copyright owner of materials used in this video and have a problem with the use of said material, please contact me. DISCLAIMER: This video does not provide investment or economic advice and is not professional advice (legal, accounting, tax). The owner of this content is not an investment advisor. Discussion of any securities, trading, or markets is incidental and solely for entertainment purposes. Nothing herein shall constitute a recommendation, investment advice, or an opinion on suitability. The information in this video is provided as of the date of its initial release. The owner of this video expressly disclaims all representations or warranties of accuracy. The owner of this video claims all intellectual property rights, including copyrights, of and related to, this video.