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Head to https://squarespace.com/territory to save 10% off your first purchase of a website or domain using code TERRITORY A Soviet Venus lander stranded in orbit for 53 years—catalogued as Kosmos 482—is finally on its way home. Fresh tracking from NASA and the ESA narrows the uncontrolled re‑entry window to 9–11 May 2025. The 495 kg descent capsule was meant to parachute onto Venus, but a mis‑timed Blok L engine burn left it circling Earth in a highly elongated, 52°‑inclined orbit. Two fragments of the original stack rained titanium spheres onto New Zealand within 48 hours of launch, while the booster core burned up in 1983; the lander alone remains, its apogee whittled from 9,800 km to 300 km and its period from 112 to 94 minutes. Built to shrug off 450 °C, 90‑bar conditions on Venus, the capsule carries thick thermal armour that could let sizable pieces survive terrestrial re‑entry. ESA analysts consider a one‑piece touchdown “highly likely,” while NASA’s David Williams notes the object should appear as a brilliant, slow‑moving fireball—but cautions that recovery prospects are uncertain because the 50‑year‑old parachute is almost certainly inert. Amateur tracker Ralf Vandebergh has imaged a compact sphere with a faint extension that might be the defunct chute flapping free as the spacecraft tumbles. Where it lands hinges on last‑orbit timing: at ~8 km s⁻¹, a one‑minute error shifts the footprint by 500 km. Anything between 52° N and 52° S—from Quebec to Patagonia—lies in play, yet a splash‑down is most probable because roughly 70 % of that latitude band is ocean. The statistical risk to people is roughly one in several thousand—low, but not zero—and ever‑growing satellite traffic highlights the need for better debris‑mitigation rules. While eyes stay on Kosmos 482, dynamic‑pressure calculations for asteroid 99942 Apophis continue to rule out an Earth impact during its 13 April 2029 close pass, keeping current odds at less than 1 in 100,000. Still, the lander’s fiery demise underscores a broader reality: low‑Earth orbit is filling fast, and each new constellation—from Starlink to Guowang to Project Kuiper—raises the background rate of hardware that must eventually fall back through the same skies. Check out our store: https://my-store-10522d3.creator-spri... Support us: / @territoryspace Subscribe to Territory - / @territoryspace Instagram - instagram.com/territoryspace